DRAFT On the Edge
The 2006 Sustainablility Indicators Report

Balanced Demographics


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Priority Action Items

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Vision for Balanced Demographics :

All organizations, agencies, towns and residents (regardless of income), will have a “sustainability” world view, where everyone lives within the natural laws and earth’s capacities, and works for the common good in the areas of health care, affordable housing, jobs and the environment.   Cape Codders will crave diversity of all types.  

Goal for Balanced Demographics:

The Cape’s resident and visitor populations will be balanced in terms of age and income distribution, and will be racially and culturally diverse.

Status and Prospectus for Balanced Demographics:

Nature itself teaches the lesson that diversity is strength.   A healthy fishery is characterized by a high degree of species diversity as well as robust biomass.   New England’s environment since the departure of the glaciers, a dynamic blend of forests and fields over the millennia, demonstrates that the more diverse an ecosystem is, the healthier and more resilient it is.

 

To express this in graphic form, a “community on the move” is like a bicycle.   Everyone who has ridden a bicycle understands that progress depends on balance.   A bicycle that is not moving is hard to balance.   Conversely, a bicycle that is out of balance is hard to move.  

 

This principle can be applied to a community as well.   A population that is well balanced in terms of age, income and ethnicity can be a great asset to a “community on the move” toward economic, environmental and social sustainability.   Such a balance should increasingly characterize Cape Cod as we strive to be more sustainable.

 

The Sustainability Indicators Council Subcommittee on Balanced Demographics chose three indicators to measure balance.   We pose several questions that community leaders in both the public and private sectors should keep in mind.

•  Age:   Are all ages represented in the Cape Cod population in similar percentages to that of the state and the nation?   What is the trend?

•  Race and Ethnicity:   Do we value and respect people of various races and ethnicities?   Are some groups less visible in the public perception of Cape Cod?    Do any groups lack opportunity to influence community decision-making in this region?   What are the percentages that make up various racial and ethnic groups on Cape Cod, and are these sufficient to encourage the “critical mass” necessary to make their unique contributions to the health of the whole?   And how should each group prosper in dynamic balance with other groups?

•  Income:   Are there any income groups found in America as a whole and the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, in particular, that are conspicuously absent in Barnstable County?   What proportion of the population has sufficient income to be able to meet their basic human needs?   What are the trends?

The Sustainability lndicators Council has assembled some data to help address these questions:  

 

Age

Barnstable County’s population is considerably older than the Commonwealth’s.   The median age of Massachusetts residents is 36.5; in Barnstable County it is 44.6, ranging from 39.2 in Bourne to 55.5 in Orleans (US Census Bureau).   The County’s 25 to 44 year-old-population is declining, both in percentages of the whole (from 29% in 1990 to 24% in 2000) and in actual numbers (55,577 in 2000 to 54,820 in 2004). Source: US Census Bureau.   

 

Projected to 2020, this trend predicts a County with more than 140,000 residents over age 55, more than 100,000 of whom will be over age 60 (Senior/Elder Population Projections Indicator).   The economic and social implications of this trend concern us.   Who will care for these elders?   Will enough businesses and wage earners remain to ensure the local tax base to support this care?   Will schools sustain the “critical mass” of students to remain vibrant?

 

Race and Ethnicity

A bright spot is that Barnstable County is becoming more racially and ethnically diverse.   The population self-identifying as “white” has been greater than 90% of Cape Cod for generations, but is gradually decreasing (from 95.4% in 1990 to 94.2% in 2000 according to the US Census).   Immigrants from other countries may have accounted for the County’s net population growth between 2000 and 2005, as they did for Massachusetts as a whole.   US Census data shows that 130,000 immigrants came to Massachusetts between 2000 and 2004, while the total increase in the State’s population was only about 60,000.

 

A hundred years ago, most immigrants to Cape Cod and Massachusetts were from Western Europe, including the Azores and the Cape Verde Islands.  The 2000 US Census reports that Barnstable County’s Hispanic population increased 31% from 1990 to 2000.   It is projected to increase 55% from 2000 to 2010 and another 42% from 2010 to 2020 ( http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/popproj.html )The Cape is also home to a substantial African American population, as well as the Mashpee Wampanoag Tribe.

 

Income

While the median household income climbed from $45,933 in 2001 to $46,218 in 2004, the number of households actually earning this median income decreased (Monitoring the Human Condition, 2005 Report).   The poverty rate grew from 5.2% in 2000 to 7.3% in 2002, while the percentage of the population earning in excess of $150,000 also grew from 3.13% to 4.39% (source http://www.censusscope.org) .   This data suggest the erosion of the “middle class” and a decrease in the diversity and balance of income levels that a sustainable community needs.  

 

Home rental trends (Workforce Housing/Development Indicator) suggest that middle-income renters who are able to leave Cape Cod are leaving; meanwhile, home ownership is becoming less diverse as the median home price has risen much faster than the income, documenting that homes are being purchased with discretionary money, often by second homeowners living and working off-Cape.   Some towns (Wellfleet, for example) report that more than 2/3 of homes are owned by non-residents.

 

Barnstable County is aware of these trends and has taken steps to welcome and encourage balance and diversity of age, race/ethnicity and income.   The County has created a Human Rights Commission to provide mediation for disputes and education to prevent discrimination.   A diverse group of immigrants have founded the “Cape Cod Immigrant Center,” welcoming newcomers from dozens of countries.   An annual multi-cultural festival at Cape Cod Community College now represents more than 40 cultures and attracts thousands of visitors.   A few Cape towns are including balanced demographic goals and policies in local planning, including land-use.   Cape Cod Community College, Cape Cod Healthcare, and the Area Health Education Collaborative (AHEC) are working to strengthen health care career ladders and assure access to housing for health care workers.   The Rhode Island Geriatric Education Center, in conjunction with the Lower/Outer Cape Community Coalition, sponsors full-day workshops for elders, caregivers and professionals several times a year.

 

A population that is balanced in terms of age, race/ethnicity and income is imperative for a sustainable community.   Visionary leaders at every level in the public and private sectors need to help assure a sustainable future by promoting efforts to build balanced demographics on Cape Cod.

Actions for Balanced Demographics:

This is a list of high-priority actions that, if taken by targeted audience, would accelerate progress toward the 2020 vision and long-term goal.

  1. Invest in translation and interpretive services as integral to all commerce.
  2. Encourage the Cape Cod media to portray people of color, Indians, low income people, immigrants, youth and elders first and foremost as positive role models for the larger community of the Cape; and to visibly portray these populations in the same percentages in which they actually exist on the Cape.   Policy-makers on Cape Cod need to present a visual image (pictures) of diversity in reports, magazines, ads, newspapers, etc.   Elect people of color and other minorities to public office.
  3. Introduce curricula of tolerance and inclusion as required courses in all Cape Cod schools, public and independent, from Pre-K through College, as well as all workforce training and job-based training programs.   Create financial incentives for inclusion, rather than exclusion, of populations on the margins.
  4. Encourage respect by all faith-based institutions, and their leadership, for the rights of people to choose other faiths.
  5. Enforce immigration laws equitably for both employers and employees.
  6. Enforce access laws that benefit people with disabilities—such as handicap parking places, ramps, surfaces, etc..
  7. Provide affordable transitional job training for seniors and elders to enable them to earn a living wage as long as they continue to work past the “traditional” retirement age(s).
  8. Encourage investment in equitable co-housing for those who serve others and those who receive the services.
  9. Construct affordable housing units at a 1:1 ratio with market rate houses.
  10. Establish Districts of Critical Planning Concern.
  11. Change land use legislation to eliminate “grandfathering” for 7 years and allow true planning to take place.
  12. Spark public dialoue about these issues at each town meeting.

Indicators Linked to Balanced Demographics:

Adult and Youth Behavioral Health

Business Diversity

Cape Cod Community College Degree/Certificate Programs

Child Care and Out of School Time

Economic Impact of the Arts and Culture Industry on Cape Cod (1995-2005)

Economic Self Sufficiency Figures for the Lower-Cape Family

Economic Self Sufficiency Figures for the Mid-Cape Family

Economic Self Sufficiency Figures for the Upper-Cape Family

Employment Diversity

Health Insurance, Nutrition and Oral Health

Housing Units per Developed Acre Index of Social Health

Mixed Use Zoning by Town

Public Transit System Coverage on Cape Cod Text

Public Transit System Coverage on Cape Cod - Peak Season Map

Public Transit System Coverage on Cape Cod - Off Season Map

Public Transit Ridership

Retirement Economy

Self Sufficiency Standard

Senior/Elder Population Projections

Tourism

Traffic Growth on Cape Cod (including Bridge Crossings)

Universal Indicator

Voting and Civic Participation

Workforce Housing/Development

 

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